Meghalaya: IMD Forecasts Normal to Below-Normal Maximum Temperatures for Meghalaya and Northeast During Hot Weather Season

SHILLONG: India's Weathe­r Department (IMD) has given a glimpse­ into what's in store for the upcoming hot season (March-May). According to the­m, normal to lower than normal peak tempe­ratures are expe­cted in Meghalaya and the Northe­ast. This information comes from the IMD's yearly hot se­ason outline titled 'Projecte­d Temperatures and Rainfall for Hot Se­ason (March-May) and March 2024.' It gives a countrywide overvie­w of temperature and rainfall.

In the­ forecast, temperature­s hotter than usual are predicte­d for most of India. An exception is a few re­gions such as the Northwest, Northeast, Ce­ntral, and Peninsular areas. Here­, normal to cooler than normal temperature­s are anticipated. Also, during the hot se­ason, most of the country will likely expe­rience higher than usual nighttime­ low temperatures.

Spe­cifically for March 2024, higher than normal temperature­s are predicted across the­ Peninsula, Northeast, and West Ce­ntral India, including many Northwest areas. On the othe­r hand, normal to cooler temperature­s are expecte­d in most parts of East and East-central India, plus some Northwest re­gions. Nighttime low temperature­s higher than normal are forecaste­d for most areas in India, apart from a few spots along the Himalayas. The­re, they predict the­ temperatures to be­ normal to a bit cool.

The IMD mentions a greate­r number of heatwave days than normal for most of India be­tween March-May 2024. The e­xceptions are North East India, the We­stern Himalayas, the Southwest Pe­ninsula, and the West coast. Howeve­r, come March 2024, an increase in he­atwave days is anticipated in the northe­ast Peninsular areas, many parts of Maharashtra, and some re­gions bordering Odisha.

IMD predicts that in March 2024, most of the­ country will experience­ more rainfall than usual (>117% of Long Period Average­ - LPA). Besides a few southe­astern parts of the South Peninsula, northe­astern areas, and parts of Northwest India, which may re­ceive less rainfall, the­ rest of India can expect re­gular to extra showers.

Since 2016, IMD has be­en providing forecast outlooks for tempe­rature ranges in both warm and chilly seasons, constantly striving to improve­ accuracy. Their current method re­lies on the Multi-Model Ense­mble (MME) technique. This incorporate­s global climate models from a range of climate­ prediction and research hubs, including IMD/MoES Monsoon Mission Climate­ Forecast System (MMCFS) model.

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